Challenges We Face

In 2018, our region’s population of people aged 65 years and over is 616,445* of this population, 34,905 are currently living with moderate and severe frailty.

Over the next 20 years, these figures, based on eFI frailty predictions, are expected to rise. This equates to an increase of 12,174 in the number of people aged 65 and over living with moderate frailty and 8,065 with severe frailty.

This may underestimate the impact of our ageing population.  Over the next 20 years the population aged 70-79 is predicted to grow by 32.5%, the population aged 80 to 89 by 57% and the population aged 90 and over by 121% [5].  Since prevalence of frailty increases by age the true increase in frailty in the STP region may be as high as 54%

Our regional village is derived from the GMS contract published data projected forward using ONS population projections.


*ONS mid-2016 Population Estimates for Clinical Commissioning Groups in England by Single Year of Age, Persons – National Statistics